The fastest way to misread a war is to believe one leader can simply declare it over. We dig into President Trump’s claim that the Iran war will end “very soon” and test it against the hard constraints that actually decide timelines: the Strait of Hormuz, shipping attacks in the Persian Gulf, and the kind of leverage that shows up immediately in oil prices and energy costs back home.

We also get into the headline-grabbing idea that the US is considering the MOAB, the so-called mother of all bombs, for Iranian targets. We walk through what that weapon can do, what it cannot do against hardened underground facilities, and why reaching for a psychological shock tactic often signals something deeper: a shortage of viable diplomatic pathways and a messy regional picture that includes Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen.

From there, we connect the Iran conflict to Ukraine as Zelensky pushes for more Patriot interceptors and ties it to an “energy truce.” We break down the uncomfortable math of missile production versus interceptor stockpiles, why US inventories are already strained, and how tech and leverage questions like Starshield performance can become political pressure points. We close with Yemen’s escalating fight between Saudi Arabia and Ansar Allah, plus a lawsuit seeking to block Jared Kushner’s unofficial envoy role amid concerns about conflicts of interest.

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