New WarNotes Podcast episode is live Monday 17 February 2025.
The age of the infantry is over after a thousands-year long reign in human warfare and conflict.
The next 75 years in the 21st century will put paid to an august and enduring institution in human conflict.
The combination of salvo competition, reduced costs of combat UAS munitions, targeting of exquisite platforms, intelligence/reconnaissance/surveillance (ISR) ubiquity, and anti-fragility/fragility are some of the factors informing this demise.
There is no longer near peer competition and there is only peer competition, you will never hear me utter the former phase again. A hybrid of technology and the nature of sensor & effector synchronization has driven cost and opportunity so far down, it is now a rational calculation to destroy individual infantrymen and small units in detail.
For the first time in conflict history, the infantry on the battlefield will be targeted in a cost-effective fashion that will annihilate them on any field they step on in any climate at any time on the planet. The difference now is that wholesale elimination of infantry forces is nearly available to every combatant force on Earth.
And it will simply become more refined and deadly with time.
It’s time for some severe self-reflection and reassessment to question the efficacy and utility of the infantry mode of combat. This Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) needs to be faced immediately.
This is an existential crisis for combat arms in the West.
Tick tock.
Housekeeping: I have been scarce on Gab but you can find daily brain-zephyrs from me at my Substack Notes section where I am not distracted by the time vampire here.
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