*Author’s note: while the term “China Lobby” has historically been associated with the coalition of interest groups, primarily in the business community, that grew up around support for the Republic of China in the 1920s and 1930s and which came to be closely allied with anti-communists in the United States following the defeat of Chiang Kai-shek by Mao and the communists, this article is concerned with those groups who, by contrast, favored closer ties to the succeeding People’s Republic of China. While the intensive, if often opaque, lobbying efforts of the Taiwanese government’s...
Rate Cuts Are Coming, Ready or Not
According to the Fed’s “preferred” inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE)—you know, the one that excepts those extraneous things you never buy, things like food and gas—well, according to recent PCE readings the Fed has been doing a terrific job, justifying the formal shifting of its interest rate outlook. That is, while not promising to cut rates it is in effect laying the necessary groundwork, providing itself the flexibility to do so if, in its words, “the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals [continue] moving into better balance.” For...
Taiwan’s Election, TSMC, and the Folly of Decoupling
With Taiwan’s presidential election now concluded, and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate William Lai Ching-te having won a plurality due to the failure of the major opposition parties (the KMT and TPP) to combine behind one candidate, tensions in East Asia are likely to increase. As reported by Aljazeera, in the weeks preceding the election Beijing had (again) “denounced Lai as a dangerous separatist,” and said he represented a “threat to peace in the region if he won.” The Chinese government's comments are neither surprising nor propitious; Lai has been a staunch advocate of...
Imperialists Will Always Double Down
While one could choose many appropriate representatives of the quotidian inanity of U.S. foreign policy—the deleterious consequences of which somehow never do anything to dent the authors’ respective career prospects—one could find many equal to but none better than former U.S. Ambassador to Russia, statist intellectual, and imperialist meddler, Michael McFaul. As to be expected, he has the usual, impeccable hawkish credentials, his time and publications paid for by, among others, the Hoover Institute, Brookings Institute, and Center for Strategic and International Studies (brought to you...
Taiwan’s Forthcoming Election Is Not An Independence Referendum
Talk the last few weeks in the corporate press about Taiwan is that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has the coming January presidential election in the bag. They are probably right. The opposition parties, the Kuomintang (KMT) and smaller Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), recently failed to coalesce behind a single candidate, so the DPP’s William Lai is almost certain to win. A self-described “practical worker for Taiwan independence,” Lai, the current vice president to the exiting Tsai Ing-wen, has chosen former envoy to the United States Hsiao Bi-khim as his running mate, completing the...
What’s Happening in Myanmar?
In early November, Myanmar popped into the periphery of the corporate press, as a coalition of rebel ethnic paramilitary forces began overrunning military outposts and towns in the country’s north and west. With a series of coordinated rebel offenses continuing, two weeks later came reports that neighboring China was mobilizing for military drills along its lengthy, densely jungled border with Myanmar. Reports of continued fighting and of the millions that have already been displaced continued in the ensuing weeks, while CNN gleefully proclaimed the Beijing-allied military junta in Naypyidaw...
U.S. Aid, Political Rights, and Civil Liberties in the Middle East and North Africa
The period 2003-2018 saw Washington annually spending hundreds of millions to tens of billions of dollars supporting regimes across the Middle East and North Africa. While some of the effects and outcomes of these “investments” are obvious, such as the lost wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the destruction of Libya, near destruction of Syria, and the rise of ISIS to name just a few, other outcomes and relationships are less readily apparent. Using a combination of the U.S. government’s own records of foreign aid contributions to each state in North Africa and the Middle East, and metrics...
A History of Sino-American Relations
The following lecture was delivered at Spring Arbor University, October 2023. There is hardly anything more important to the future of the world than Sino-American relations. And that’s quite a thing to say when looking at the state of the world these days. But over the long-haul these, the two largest economies, militaries, and navies on earth must find some way to coexist, or else there is going to be trouble for everyone. The aim of this talk is to outline the course of Sino-American relations. As I presume most everyone here is generally familiar with the history of the United States, my...
Joseph Solis-Mullen
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Last Rights: The Death of American Liberty
Americans today have “freedom” to be fleeced, groped, injected, harassed, surveilled, vilified, disarmed, beaten, detained, and maybe shot by federal agents. From hapless homeowners hit by SWAT raids to pandemic lockdowns pointlessly paralyzing lives, government...
The Fake China Threat and Its Very Real Danger
Today the front pages and bookstores are filled with tales of the so-called "China Threat." From spy balloons to Fentanyl pipelines, genocide to dreams of world domination: CHINA! But is it all true? Is any of it? Now, for the first time, the speciousness of these and...