Economists rely on Vector Autoregression (VAR) models to forecast macroeconomic time series that may infer the effects of structural shocks and estimate unobservable cyclical components of macroeconomic aggregates. A VAR model is made up of a system of equations that represents the relationships between multiple variables. For example, variables such as unemployment, interest, and inflation rates may be incorporated into a VAR model. Theories have been developed that claim to improve model misspecification, thereby avoiding inaccuracies.Francesca, Loria, et al. “Economic theories and...
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Israel Winner of the 2003 Iraq Oil War
From the Foreword by Lawrence B. Wilkerson: “[T]he debate over whether oil was a principal reason for the 2003 invasion has waxed and waned, with one camp arguing that it absolutely was, while the other argues the precise opposite.” “Mr. Vogler, himself a former...
Domestic Imperialism: Nine Reasons I Left Progressivism
Imagine the Catholic Church (or any person or group of people) doing what the government does every day: Everyone who doesn’t give the Catholic Church 25% of his annual income every year will be put in jail. If he resists the Jesuit officer, the officer has the right...
Diary of a Psychosis: How Public Health Disgraced Itself During COVID Mania
FOREWORD BY JAY BHATTACHARYA, MD, PHD Diary of a Psychosis is different from all other books on Covid: it traces the development of the government response as it happened, bit by bit, and subjects it to relentless scrutiny: did any of it do any good? It thereby...