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The Royal Navy Continues To Turn the Lights Out

Royal Navy Will Use AI To Detect Threats In Maritime Combat

The Royal Navy continues to become irrelevant with a bone in its teeth.

The 2025 Strategic Defence Review (SDR) for the Royal Navy has been published and it is just as bad as you think it will be. Another buzzword salad buffet with zero calories and promises that will not be kept. Another simpleton’s wish list, with an unlikely promise about 3% GDP Defence Funding (2035?). Just another compilation of if’s and maybe’s which are entirely useless for planning in any future planning or fight. There is not a single viable or deliverable element in the document.

The mind-numbing repetition of “we continue to do defence on the cheap”.  Long term 2.5% is an improvement on the 2% level that has been failing for over a decade. 3% will mean an extra £15 bill being spent on defense in a fiscal wasteland in the UK. In 2024, Germany outspent the UK overall – £65.4 billion compared to £56 billion. So, the UK neither has the largest actual defense budget, nor the largest percentage spend on defense in Europe. The second of those titles goes to Ukraine, and then to Poland. NATO wants members to spend 3.5% on defense. The SDR wants the UK to spend 3%. 3% means an extra £20b a year, 3.5% would mean an extra £30b. Given the state of UK finances, either will be a challenge.

Overall this review seems quite pointless except to buy time for a UK government that has no real idea how to improve UK defense and pay for it in alignment with changing NATO ambitions.

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Firing deep fire missiles from aircraft carriers?

12 new nuclear subs hen they can’t maintain their current fleet 3/4 that size?

Nuclear armed F35?

I suspect the SDR was written by someone with zero defense knowledge or expertise, reycling terms and phrases they have only recently heard in briefings and getting them fundamentally wrong. You will note the SDR says nothing specific about anything, it feels like this document was crafted by a team of wikipedia experts and desktop defense intellectuals, that would explain a lot of the nebulous references and unclear terminology: they simply don’t know what they’re talking about. Yet another ultracrepidarian acid trip posing as policy.

The review was shaped by two core questions. The first considered what must be done to modernise UK defence to ensure it is fit for purpose in the strategic environment up to the 2040s. The second examined what could be delivered within a fixed financial framework. The recommendations were bench-marked against a funding profile of 2.5% of GDP from Financial Year 2027/28, rising to 3% no later than 2034. No additional questions were posed, and those writing the document were strictly confined within these parameters.

The document claims to be a “landmark”, having involved 1,700 individuals, 8,000 individual submissions and 150 senior experts. In many ways, the document is sound in terms of direction, but it is fundamentally aspirational-only, lacking detail about force design (except in a few instances), leaving the entire defence enterprise none the wiser about which programmes will be carried forward. While the Integrated Review (2021 & 23) talked about the need to change from ‘industrial age’ capabilities to ‘digital age’ the latest review does not mention cuts or de-scoping at all. Meanwhile, John Healey claimed the MoD will be making £6Bn of ‘efficiencies’ within the life of this Parliament.

More hot garbage wasting tens of millions of dollars on this kind of boilerplate that achieves nothing, consistently.

Implications of the 2025 Strategic Defence Review for the Royal Navy

Anti-War Blog – Apparently, not evil. Just War.

Anti-War Blog – Apparently, not evil. Just War.

In the past those of us distant from war could only see it in the print media and television. It was curated with the intent to gain sympathy, or conceal the brutality of those who we were supposed to be sympathetic for. As censored as it was at times graphic, though it was just in fragments. Now, we have an endless stream of images and video. If we dare to see them.

War is a peculiar thing, it allows for the most horrible to occur on a grand scale. It is precisely because of the scale of such acts and who is committing them, that the insufferable horror continues on. Despite the savagery and suffering, it’s articulated to have great meaning. In the parliaments, lecture halls, on television panels, on podcasts and in the comment sections of social media, it’s given context or debated. The suffering, the innocent, those in pain, the dead and the mourning victims or deserving, depending on ones narrative. Online it’s usually content, watermarks of @accounts, phonk sountracks, AI slopovers narrating and X threads turning the footage lifted from another’s telegram channel into a revenue post.

A human being or entire populations, forfeit. They don’t matter or simply are described to be deserving of their suffering. These opinions and views are not held or spoken by brutes, but by elected officials, common people, bots and bot brained posters a like. It’s not a pariah opinion, in most cases it’s an allowable one. An opinion that is rewarded. An opinion of mature sophistication, considerable delicacy of intellect but also one of base tribalism. It’s both, depending on whose espousing it. To be antiwar, not pacifist but opposed to the slaughter of the innocent, to collective punishment of regions or groups, is devalued as childish, immature. Unsophisticated. Naive.

Beyond the voyeur, in a distant field.

A lone Russian man, young, tired. Resigned to his fate as a drone hovers around him. The open grass field he is in, cold and empty. He has nowhere to run, even if he could. He can’t surrender because the suicide drone has one mission, to kill. The man sits, his head lowered. There is no mercy, no humanity. The distant drone operator steeled by idealism, or revenge or maybe apathy, is far away. The drone lingers. Hesitation from the killer? Or maybe torment? Perhaps a conversation is being had, to kill or not? The man waits. The decision is made. The drone detonates. Another life gone. A dead man. A son, A brother, A lover, A friend, A comrade. Now Dead.

On that same social media feed, a young boy with a bullet hole punched through his chest, lays limp. Palestinian, barely ten. Shot by an Israeli soldier. The parliaments, lecture halls, podcasts, television, comment sections discuss, debate, cheer and condemn. They can afford to, it’s not their child. It’s not them. The civilised conjure up definitions of genocide, whether the child deserved to die or who is really to blame. The soldier pulling the trigger, had no choice it’s claimed. The child is dead. Murdered. Except in war, when nation states wage them, murder is an ugly word that gets contextualised away. A little boy, among thousands more, remains dead.

You see, it’s not immoral or even a war crime, whatever that means, when it’s them dying. The Russian man, maybe still a teenager, is an invader. A Russki. The Palestinian boy, belongs to a pariah group according to the civilised West and it can be figured, is close enough to fighting age. Ten year old male, old enough to arrest, torture and kill. Soon, it’s argued, he will be a terrorist. Radicalised, a threat. Better to snuff him out now. Argues some in parliaments to podcasts to comment sections. He’s just a child under any other context.

There is nothing to be gained in appealing to reason or consistency. Invader! It’s easy to mention the allied and US invasions of foreign lands. That’s meaningless. That is how exceptionalism works. This soldier, is not an American, or doesn’t speak English at least. Therefore his participation in an invasion or police action, is illegal, immoral. He is the enemy, there is no mercy. The purported values and dignities of Western civilisation, they don’t matter. Or they only matter when an enemy is revealed as brutish, inhumane, lacking in such values.

The little boy, he belongs to a pariah race, a people that are the other. He may as well be a ‘Gypsie’, another group still mostly allowed to be hated and despised, suspect. He may as well be a Jew in Europe’s own past. In these examples he is a savage, not a boy or child. Another creature. That is how it’s possible to kill so many, make sure that enough of the world agrees. Enough of the influential, powerful agree or don’t care. It’s how you can starve millions to death from Yemen, Iraq to last centuries Germany in that first Great war. It’s how you can carpet their bomb cities, or stuff them into carriages to be gassed, bayoneted or shot to death. They are subhuman, vermin. The civilised and those with values, often declare it as such.

One can as easily find the denials. It’s not really happening. It’s fake. Manufactured. The moral side is that precisely because it claims to be. The same Nazi German government that invited the Red Cross and Allied POWs to inspect the mass graves of the Poles massacred by the Soviets at Katyn, were themselves responsible for countless other massacres, genocides. Grandstands of moral virtue signalling. Countless commies will claim that the Katyn massacre never occurred or that the Soviets themselves were never that bloodthirsty and oppressive. Jew-haters will also claim that the Nazi’s were incapable of mass genocide, even one of such a scale that the term holocaust has now become Holocaust,inc. Denial is a form of enabling. The dead children in Palestine, some claim that’s not happening as well.

Arguments and debates become digital wallpaper, entertainment. Comment sections polluted by bots and paid posters blending with the ideological and trolls. The definitions of morality and right and wrong or good and evil, ever fluid. Non-binary-moral. Ever in transition depending on who does it, and who is killed. Everything is fluid, especially murder.

Soon there won’t be a human peering through the screen while operating the drone, guiding it to hunt and kill. Will automation change anything? Indiscriminate and intentional murder of the innocent is ancient, technology and institutions of civility, laws and religion only seemed to have enhanced it. The gladius wielding Romans could commit a genocide as easily as the National Socialist empire of Germany with 20th century science. If the human killers and those distant humans, lack empathy, compassion and a regard for human dignity, how will a machine be any worse.

Maybe the machine with it’s logic and reason and rationales, a lack of ideological vileness, no religious contradictions, no sociopathic desire and greedy incentives, will be less evil? Who knows? The question remains, what does it say about us? Despite so much literature, achievement, apparent love of a creator or ages of reason, and atheistic morality that embraces justice and rights. Here we are.

And when they were in the field, Cain stood up against his brother Abel and killed him.”

May as well be Johnny Reb bayoneting Billy Yank or a distant drone operator steering an exploding drone into a man in a grass field. It seems that despite all of these faiths, ideological versions of control, Utopian coercion’s and monopolies of order, the result is the same.

Maybe evil never existed. It’s just us. Humanity invented the devil and moral frameworks to satiate our spirit for murder with alibi, and excuse. God Wills It! or the Devil steered a hand, To kill for empire, nation or as a reaction to empire, nation. To kill for conquest, for freedom. To kill for spiritual nirvana or economic Utopia. To kill for jealousy, greed, hatred, lust, or just because. The reasons may vary, the killers always there. The State makes it legal or illegal. To murder is immoral regardless of the States reasons.

The soldier, his body in a field, ripped to pieces. That little boy, held by weeping family members. Another lost. I want to say it’s pointless, but it isn’t. Not for the killers and advocates of the killing. There is a goal, an ambition. Whether it’s policy or conquest. That is what drives them. The victims, they are not allowed to exist or live in peace. That should be understood as evil. But we are educated to understand it’s complicated. The benefactors decided.

The purity of evil gets washed, domesticated and civilised. Many may say they hate war, most believe that they are not evil. Some even do everything in their ability to not be like that, to reject it. We need the idea of good-evil to exist to pretend we are capable of being better, to believe that we can be good, are good. But most seem to only believe in the lesser evil, that being their side. They also believe that the end, justifies the means. That being whatever nationalist, ideological, cultural, political or religious end or simply put whatever satisfies greed and comfort. Or, they don’t care.

The soldier is dead. The little boy, dead. More to follow. That’s evil. But apparently it’s not.

 

Fat Amy Performs as Expected

the pentagon, cropped square

The F35 continues to shine as a boondoggle and taxpayer nightmare fuel.

Taiclet’s boasts to investors about the program were quickly tempered by real world events the same day when video circulated of an out of control Air Force F-35 tumbling to a fiery crash in Alaska, after its pilot ejected. An “inflight malfunction” led to the crash, said Col. Paul Townsend, commander of the 354th Fight Wing, at a news conference. Townsend promised “a thorough investigation in hopes to minimize the chances of such occurrences from happening again.”

Even aside from the doubts raised by the crash, Tuesday’s claim by Lockheed CEO James Taiclet, doesn’t hold up to scrutiny and actually highlights the serious problems with the F-35 program that is estimated to saddle U.S. taxpayers with a $1.7 trillion bill over the project’s lifetime.

Dan Grazier, a senior fellow and program director at the Stimson Center, flagged that Taiclet may be engaged in sleight of hand by touting the effectiveness of the Israeli variant of the F-35, known as the Adir, and the American variant used everywhere else in the world, in his earnings call claims.

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/f-35-crash/

The Continuing Erosion of US Dominance in Peer Combat

The predominance of Western military superiority in weapons systems is unraveling and the increasing dissonance in the US military complex coming to grips with existential changes in how peer competition in war is evolving is causing tremendous reduction in both both confidence and orders placed for US aircraft.

Western arms are expensive and stuck in a doom loop of anachronistic 20th century warfare techniques and materiel that are dead and buried.

A war with Iran would be vastly more complex than the Iraq or Afghanistan campaigns. Iran is well-armed, deeply networked, and battle-hardened through proxy conflicts. Its missile program has already proved capable of hitting U.S. bases with precision. China, on the other hand, has scaled its military-industrial capacity to levels the West cannot match in a short war. The J-10C is only one example of this: a domestically produced, cost-effective, and combat-capable fighter that is already shaping the regional air power balance.

The global arms market is shifting, not just economically but ideologically. Countries are starting to believe, with growing evidence, that they don’t need Western weapons to win wars or defend sovereignty. They are witnessing cheaper, faster, and sometimes more effective systems coming out of China, Iran, Russia, and even Turkey. These countries are offering not just weapons, but independence from Western political strings.

Western military doctrine is built around assumptions that no longer hold. The belief in total technological superiority has created an overconfidence that is now unraveling. Real war exposes real capability, and right now, the J-10C and its counterparts are showing that the West may no longer hold a monopoly on high-performance warfare.

https://substack.com/home/post/p-164232959?source=queue&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

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