A $1.5 Trillion Pentagon Budget?

A $1.5 Trillion Pentagon Budget?

For anyone who has been paying attention to the metastasizing national debt and the fiscal recklessness that has defined Washington for the past two decades, the latest proposal from the Trump administration can be met only by a mixture of disgust and grim predictability. Indeed, at a time of record debt and deficits the White House has floated a $1.5 trillion military budget for fiscal year 2027—a proposal more likely than not to find its way into the next National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). It is a prospect that should terrify every American taxpayer. For context, the most recent...

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East Asia Foots the Bill For Washington’s Iran War

East Asia Foots the Bill For Washington’s Iran War

As the United States and Israel press their war of aggression against Iran—now entering its second month—attention has understandably focused on the carnage in the Middle East. Yet with the Strait of Hormuz effectively blockaded and global energy markets in turmoil, the conflict’s ripples extend far beyond the Persian Gulf. In East Asia, America’s closest treaty allies, Japan and South Korea, are absorbing punishing economic shocks from their dependence on Middle Eastern oil, while Washington’s diversion of military assets has left them feeling exposed and annoyed. Meanwhile, Beijing,...

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Politics Incentivizes Trump Away From Peace

Politics Incentivizes Trump Away From Peace

The early polling on President Donald Trump’s war against Iran presents what might, at first glance, look like a constraint on escalation. Across numerous polls a majority of Americans oppose the conflict with support for military action rarely breaking out of the 30-40% range. Concerns about escalation, retaliation, and the absence of clear objectives are widespread. And yet, none of this appears likely to meaningfully shape the administration’s decision-making. The reason is simple: in the political economy of contemporary American governance, broad public opinion matters far less than the...

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Arguing Against the State Without Hesitation

Arguing Against the State Without Hesitation

In 2008, a book appeared called Deleting the State: An Argument About Government. It was a trim volume, barely a hundred pages of actual text, but it hit me with the force of a hundred pounds from the very first page. As an undergraduate political science student, I had by that point read Robert Nozick, but I had yet to encounter Murray Rothbard or the broader Austrian and anarcho-capitalist tradition. Aeon Skoble’s book was therefore the first work I encountered that seriously challenged the legitimacy of the state itself. Now the Independent Institute has done a new generation of readers a...

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The Horn of Africa Is Ready to Explode

The Horn of Africa Is Ready to Explode

Though the dust from the devastating Tigray War of 2020–2022 has barely settled, the Horn of Africa once again appears to be drifting toward catastrophe. Recent developments suggest a growing risk of renewed conflict involving Ethiopia’s federal government, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), and neighboring Eritrea. Military buildups, drone strikes, and a rising chorus of diplomatic accusations all point to a region edging back toward war. Should fighting resume, the consequences would be severe: hundreds of thousands more lives potentially lost, humanitarian crises deepening, and...

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The Other War Next Door: Pakistan vs. Afghanistan

The Other War Next Door: Pakistan vs. Afghanistan

In late February, longstanding tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan erupted into open conflict, marking one of the most severe escalations since the Taliban regained control of Kabul in 2021. What began as targeted Pakistani airstrikes against militant camps in eastern Afghanistan has spiraled into cross-border offensives, artillery exchanges, and strikes on major Afghan cities, including Kabul and Kandahar. Pakistan’s Defense Minister Khawaja Asif declared an “open war” with the Taliban government following Afghan retaliatory attacks on Pakistani border positions. This flare-up, rooted...

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The Supreme Court Struck Down Trump’s Tariffs, But Will It Matter?

The Supreme Court Struck Down Trump’s Tariffs, But Will It Matter?

In a landmark 6–3 decision issued on February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that President Donald Trump exceeded his statutory authority when he imposed sweeping tariffs on imports from nearly every trading partner under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977. Yet within hours of the decision, the administration made clear that its tariff strategy was far from finished. By pivoting to alternative statutory authorities dating from the 1930s, 1960s, and 1970s, the White House signaled that while one legal pathway had been closed, others remain available. The...

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Structure, Loyalty, and Power: Understanding China’s Party-State Under Xi Jinping

Structure, Loyalty, and Power: Understanding China’s Party-State Under Xi Jinping

In late January 2026, China’s Ministry of National Defense announced investigations into two of the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) most senior officers: General Zhang Youxia, long-time vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and a close Xi Jinping ally, and General Liu Zhenli, chief of the CMC’s Joint Staff Department. These investigations capped a wave of high-level purges that began in 2023 and steadily hollowed out the PLA’s senior leadership. At one point, the CMC, China’s supreme military decision-making body, was reduced in functional terms to Xi himself as chairman...

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