Booms & Busts: An Analysis of Easy Money

Booms & Busts: An Analysis of Easy Money

According to the popular way of thinking, various economic data can provide an analyst with the necessary information regarding the state of the economy. It is held that by inspecting various economic indicators such as the gross domestic product or industrial production, an analyst could ascertain the state of the economic business cycle. Following the experts from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), business cycles are seen as broad swings in many economic indicators, which upon careful inspection permit the establishment of peaks and troughs in general economic activity....

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The Bank of England’s Governor Fears a Liquidity Trap

The Bank of England’s Governor Fears a Liquidity Trap

The global economy is heading towards a “liquidity trap” that could undermine central banks’ efforts to avoid a future recession according to Mark Carney, governor of the Bank of England. In a wide-ranging interview with the Financial Times (January 8, 2020), the outgoing governor warned that central banks were running out of ammunition to combat a downturn: If there were to be a deeper downturn, more than a conventional recession, then it’s not clear that monetary policy would have sufficient space. He is of the view that aggressive monetary and fiscal policies will be required to lift the...

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Money, Expectations, and Economic Growth

Money, Expectations, and Economic Growth

In various writings, Milton Friedman argued that there is a variable lag between changes in money supply and its effect on real output and prices. Friedman held that in the short run changes in money supply will be followed by changes in real output. However, in the long run changes in money will only have an effect on prices. This means, according to Friedman, that changes in money with respect to real economic activity tend to be neutral in the long run and non-neutral in the short run. In the short-run, which may be as much as five or ten years, monetary changes affect primarily output....

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Good Economic Theory Focuses on Explanation, Not Prediction

Good Economic Theory Focuses on Explanation, Not Prediction

In order to establish the state of the economy, economists employ various theories. Yet what are the criteria for how they decide whether the theory employed is helpful in ascertaining the facts of reality? According to the popular way of thinking, our knowledge of the world of economics is elusive — it is not possible to ascertain how the world of economics really works. Hence, it is held that the criterion for the selection of a theory should be its predictive power. So long as the theory "works," it is regarded as a valid framework as far as the assessment of an economy is concerned. Once...

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More Money Pumping Won’t Make Us Richer

More Money Pumping Won’t Make Us Richer

Whenever a central bank introduces easy monetary policy, as a rule this leads to an economic boom — or economic prosperity. At least this is what most commentators hold. If this is however the case then it means that an easy monetary policy can grow an economy. But loose monetary policies do not generate economic growth. These policies set in motion the diversion of real savings from wealth generators to the holders of the newly pumped money. Real savings, rather than supporting individuals that specialize in the enhancement and expansion of the infrastructure are consumed by various...

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Myth: Gold Makes Boom-Bust Cycles Worse

According to some commentators on the gold standard, an increase in the supply of gold generates similar distortions as money out of “thin air” does. Let us start with a barter economy. John the miner produces ten ounces of gold. The reason why he mines gold is because he believes there is a market for it. Gold contributes to the well-being of individuals. He exchanges his ten ounces of gold for various goods such as potatoes and tomatoes. Now people have discovered that gold apart from being useful in making jewelry is also useful for some other applications. They now assign a much greater...

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Should the Fed Print More Money When "Demand for Money" Rises?

For most economists and commentators the main role of the Fed is to keep the supply and demand for money in equilibrium. Whenever an increase in the demand for money occurs — in order to maintain the state of equilibrium — it is held that the Fed must increase the money supply as a necessary action in order to keep the economy on a path of economic and price stability. The accommodation of the increase in the demand for money is not considered as money printing and therefore not harmful to the economy. That is,  this sort of  increase, it is held, does not set in motion the boom-bust cycle...

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The Connection Between Money-Supply Growth and Inflation

In the article “Rapid money supply growth does not cause inflation” written by Richard Vague at the Institute for New Economic Thinking, December 2, 2016, the author argues that empirical evidence shows that increases in money supply has nothing to do with inflation. According to Vague, Monetarist theory, which came to dominate economic thinking in the 1980s and the decades that followed, holds that rapid money supply growth is the cause of inflation. The theory, however, fails an actual test of the available evidence. In our review of 47 countries, generally from 1960 forward, we found that...

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News

Zelensky Tries to Stop Leaks Coming From His Government

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has voiced frustration with unnamed officials from his own government for speaking with the press. During his daily briefing on Thursday, the Ukrainian leader said leaks were harming Kiev’s war effort and are “frankly irresponsible.”

News Roundup 8/11/2022

US News Advisers at 1st Security Force Assistance Brigade racked up at least 60 misconduct offenses, including incidents with alcohol, drugs and adultery; a battalion commander was fired; members of one advising team are facing punishment for their behavior in...

Blog

RIP Michael Badnarik

I am told this morning that Michael Badnarik died in his sleep of heart failure last night. Michael was a great believer in and defender of freedom and the United States of America and its Constitution. He represented the Libertarian Party as presidential candidate...

KPFA Saturday Evening News–How Violence Breeds Violence

Short contribution of Laurie Calhoun to the KPFA Saturday Evening News on August 6, 2022, with David Rosenberg about drone assassination and the logic of “violence breeds violence”. This three-minute exchange spans 5:10-8:15. Many other foreign policy topics are also...

Drone Assassination: Inconvenient Facts

On the assassination of Ayman al-Zawahiri by U.S. drone in Kabul (from Accuracy.org): [Laurie Calhoun] said today: “President Biden has pivoted from the multiple crises of his administration — inflation, heightened tensions with China and Iran, and even the very real...

The Scott Horton Show

8/8/22 Bonnie Kristian on America’s Ongoing War in Somalia

 Download Episode. Scott interviews Bonnie Kristian about her new book and an article she wrote recently on America’s war in Somalia. After the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan last summer, Somalia is now America’s longest war. Though Trump temporarily shifted...

Conflicts of Interest

COI #311: The White House Will Continue to Push Beijing

On COI #311, Kyle Anzalone discusses Russia, China and Africa.   Odysee Rumble  Donate LBRY Credits bTTEiLoteVdMbLS7YqDVSZyjEY1eMgW7CP Donate Bitcoin 36PP4kT28jjUZcL44dXDonFwrVVDHntsrk Donate Bitcoin Cash Qp6gznu4xm97cj7j9vqepqxcfuctq2exvvqu7aamz6 Patreon...

COI #310: Was the Al-Qaeda Leader Killed in Afghanistan?

On COI #310, Kyle Anzalone and Connor Freeman discuss Iran, Israel and Afghanistan.   Odysee Rumble  Donate LBRY Credits bTTEiLoteVdMbLS7YqDVSZyjEY1eMgW7CP Donate Bitcoin 36PP4kT28jjUZcL44dXDonFwrVVDHntsrk Donate Bitcoin Cash...

COI #308: Moving Closer to Nuclear War

On COI #308, Kyle Anzalone discusses warnings that the world is close to annihilation. Odysee Rumble  Donate LBRY Credits bTTEiLoteVdMbLS7YqDVSZyjEY1eMgW7CP Donate Bitcoin 36PP4kT28jjUZcL44dXDonFwrVVDHntsrk Donate Bitcoin Cash...

Don't Tread on Anyone

The Utilitarian Case for Voluntaryism

https://youtu.be/mO0Wi-elguk If I try to take something from you, you will resist, imposing costs on both of us in the form of property damage and bodily harm, in addition to the cost of security you may incur to prevent future acts of coercion. It’s not just that...

The State is the Health of War

https://youtu.be/WnvtYw_QKQE Critics often dismiss private law by alleging that disputes between enforcement agencies would lead to combat — even though this happens between governments all the time! In truth, the incentives for peaceful resolution of disputes would...

Who Was Tony Timpa?

https://youtu.be/zQiIPeHLQp4 “Unless it be to do justice on an offender,” Locke continued, no one may “take away, or impair the life, or what tends to the preservation of the life, the liberty, health, limb, or goods of another.” Long traces out a key implication of...

Liberty Weekly Podcast

Pelosi’s Pickled Provocation Ep. 227

https://youtu.be/6t0w03HduRI In the last two weeks, I spent a great deal of time covering Nancy Pelosi's reckless diplomatic visit to Taiwan. As a part of my coverage, I made a panel appearance on Around the Empire with JoAnne Leon and was glad to be a guest on It's...

Lies, Damned Lies, & War Propaganda ft. Prof CJ Ep. 226

  https://youtu.be/Qp4xpGlxsx8 In this week's episode, I invited Prof. CJ of the Dangerous History Podcast on to talk about Part I of his current podcast series. In Part I, Prof. CJ explores the "massive British propaganda operation in the US that ran from...

The Danger of the Fake China Threat ft. Joseph Solis-Mullen Ep. 225

https://youtu.be/OEcx1yQn6ic This week, I invited Joseph Solis-Mullen on the show to discuss his most recent article published at the Libertarian Institute. The article, entitled "The Fake China Threat and Its Very Real Danger" does an excellent job of demonstrating...

Year Zero

Tim Pool is Wrong About China w/ Patrick MacFarlane

Patrick is back, and this time we’re discussing how and why Tim Pool is wrong about China. Liberty Weekly Patrick Twitter Discord Libertarian Institute 19 Skills Pdf Autonomy Course Critical Thinking Course Donate Patreon RyanBunting.com

BTC Vs ESG w/Car

Car from TLE joined me again. This time I wanted Car to address my Concerns about ESG, and how he thought BTC was the answer. Timeline Earth Who is Car Timeline Earth Discord Libertarian Institute 19 Skills Pdf Autonomy Course Critical Thinking Course Donate Patreon...

Origins and Myths w/Adam Patrick

Adam Patrick is back to discuss the roots of metaphysical thought and language. Discord Libertarian Institute 19 Skills Pdf Autonomy Course Critical Thinking Course Donate Patreon RyanBunting.com

46 & 2, Tool, the Shadow, and Jung w/Jon Hartmann

I asked my good friend Jon Hartmann to come back on the show to discuss Tool’s 46 & 2 and Jung’s concept of the Shadow. Jon Twitter Jon Instagram Discord Libertarian Institute 19 Skills Pdf Autonomy Course Critical Thinking Course Donate Patreon...

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