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Vance in Munich w/Kyle Matovcik
Kyle joined me to listen and discuss Vance’s fiery speech at the Munich Security Council last week.
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It Begins: Blow-back Will Commence Once Festivities Begin
United States declares eight Latin American drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations.
This will not go well and the sophisticated ratlines, logistics enterprises and support networks will be leveraged to the highest order for retaliatory strikes in CONUS. Remember the premier human trafficking networks from the southern border for illegal entry are run by the cartels to include the entry of OTM (Other Than Mexicans) which may very well be the escort of Islamist and third country nationals with mayhem and mischief on their resumes.
Everybody better buckle up with heads on a swivel and armed to the teeth.
The moment this clacks off, retaliation in the US will be off the [daisy] chain.
Newton’s Third Law is a stone cold motherfucker.
Then the escalation begins to include the possibility of invading Mexico and all the winning stops and losing begins.
Strap in.
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Hinting at War and Disaster: Mexico Will Go Up in Flames
Here are some news items from the war on cartels. This is a very ominous development.
After two weeks of US Air Force RC-135V/W Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft conducting multiple signals intelligence (SIGINT) operations along the US-Mexico border and in international waters off southern Baja California—areas controlled by heavily armed drug cartels—the Mexican Senate Commission has approved the deployment of US Special Forces operators to the country for “training missions.”
SOFREP’s Guy D. McCardle reports that the Mexican Senate Commission has already approved the US Army’s 7th Special Forces Group (Airborne) Green Berets to conduct training exercises at a naval facility in Campeche, a Mexican port city on the Gulf of Mexico.
As of Monday, the exercise is underway and will last through the end of March in conjunction with the Mexican Navy’s Infantería de Marina. The training will take place at the Luis Carpizo naval facility in Campeche from February 17 to March 30, 2025. It has been officially approved by the Mexican Senate’s Naval Ministry Commission and will be conducted under the supervision of the Mexican Defense Ministry (SEDENA). This ensures that while the training benefits from US military expertise, it remains aligned with Mexico’s national defense priorities. -SOFREP
“It’s important to say the Green Berets’ role is going to be just that: Training,” Scott Stewart, vice president of intelligence for international security consultant TorchStone Global, told NewsNation, adding, “It’s not like they’re sending in the SEALs, the Delta (Force) or the (Army) Rangers. It’s not like we are seeing the deployment of combat troops or combat aircraft.”
Stewart suggested that the Mexican government likely permitted the USAF spy planes near cartel-controlled areas to collect SIGINT for law enforcement agencies.
“That may be an attempt to increase signals intelligence – that plane is a vacuum, it sucks up all communications – but I think it would be intelligence to pass to the Mexican marines and not necessarily in preparation for a US airstrike or something,” he noted.
As previously reported:
USAF Spy Plane Runs SIGINT Operation Near Cabo As US Preps For Potential Cartel Fight
USAF Spy Jet Flies Second SIGINT Operation On US Border With Focus On Narco Hub
Border Czar “Expects” Kinetic Warfare Between US Troops & Mexican Drug Cartels
Beyond training, this partnership comes as President Trump recently designated Mexican cartels as “foreign terrorist organizations.”
When reporters asked Trump earlier this month whether he would consider deploying Special Forces operators to Mexico, he responded, “Could happen” and added, “Stranger things have happened.”
ABC News asked Trump administration Border Czar Tom Homan a few weeks ago whether the US military could get involved if cartels strike. Homan replied, “Yes, and we expect them to,” adding that US troops “need to protect themselves.
At the start of the month, in what appeared to be the shortest trade war in history, Mexico and Canada each committed 10,000 troops to their respective borders, while the US reinforced its southern border with thousands of soldiers in the last three weeks.
Last month, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth had some strong words for drug cartels.
As we’ve previously noted:
Dismantling Mexican drug cartels could be a very messy operation, which is why the Trump administration fortified the border with the military. The challenge, however, is that if US Special Forces operators kill cartel leaders, retaliatory attacks by cartel members could occur at Mexican beach resorts or, worse, on the streets of US cities.
This move could mark the beginning of a broader deployment of US Special Forces in Mexico, aimed at dismantling drug cartels responsible for the drug death catastrophe of 100,000 Americans per year. Beyond military action, there is also the possibility that the Trump administration could launch financial hybrid warfare—applying pressure on Mexican banks to disrupt cartel operations. Additionally, Beijing may soon face more pressure from Trump in its role in subsidizing fentanyl precursor exports to Mexico.
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Comply or Be Burned to the Ground
The IED nonsense continues at professional military education institutions as the zampolits flee for cover.
“The Engagement, Retention, and Equal Opportunity directly supports the Naval Academy’s Strategic Imperative One: To recruit, admit, and graduate a diverse and talented Brigade of Midshipmen.”
https://www.usna.edu/Engagement/staff/index.php
DEI under a new rubric.
Fire every head of the military academies and offer them a choice: teach the warrior basics or be defunded and demolished in one week.
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National Greatness
“A nation which makes greatness its polestar can never be free; beneath national greatness sink individual greatness, honor, wealth and freedom. But though history, experience and reasoning confirm these ideas; yet all- powerful delusion has been able to make the people of every nation lend a helping hand in putting on their own fetters and rivetting their own chains, and in this service delusion always employs men too great to speak the truth, and yet too powerful to be doubted. Their statements are believed—their projects adopted—their ends answered and the deluded subjects of all this artifice are left to passive obedience through life, and to entail a condition of unqualified non-resistance to a ruined posterity.”
—Abraham Bishop (1800)
Ep 013 “End of an Era: The Infantry Folds Its Colors”
New WarNotes Podcast episode is live Monday 17 February 2025.
The age of the infantry is over after a thousands-year long reign in human warfare and conflict.
The next 75 years in the 21st century will put paid to an august and enduring institution in human conflict.
The combination of salvo competition, reduced costs of combat UAS munitions, targeting of exquisite platforms, intelligence/reconnaissance/surveillance (ISR) ubiquity, and anti-fragility/fragility are some of the factors informing this demise.
There is no longer near peer competition and there is only peer competition, you will never hear me utter the former phase again. A hybrid of technology and the nature of sensor & effector synchronization has driven cost and opportunity so far down, it is now a rational calculation to destroy individual infantrymen and small units in detail.
For the first time in conflict history, the infantry on the battlefield will be targeted in a cost-effective fashion that will annihilate them on any field they step on in any climate at any time on the planet. The difference now is that wholesale elimination of infantry forces is nearly available to every combatant force on Earth.
And it will simply become more refined and deadly with time.
It’s time for some severe self-reflection and reassessment to question the efficacy and utility of the infantry mode of combat. This Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) needs to be faced immediately.
This is an existential crisis for combat arms in the West.
Tick tock.
Housekeeping: I have been scarce on Gab but you can find daily brain-zephyrs from me at my Substack Notes section where I am not distracted by the time vampire here.
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Notes: cgpodcast.substack.com/notes
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Finding Faith w/Josh Childress
Coincidence isn’t a thing, but synchronicity is. You never know why you’re put in somebody’s life.
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The Wayback Machine reminds us of all past tense showing us the future. The base in Balakliya, near Kharkiv, is around 100km (60 miles) from fighting against Russian-backed separatists in the eastern oblasts (2017).
https://web.archive.org/web/20170801064637/http://scout.com/military/warrior/Article/Small-Russian-Drones-Do-Massive-Damage-WIth-Grenade-Weapons-103103172