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The Kyle Anzalone Show: Trump Prepares for a MORE War With Iran

“Only because I wanted to go further.” That single line from Donald Trump’s Time magazine interview changes how you should read the entire Iran war timeline. I’m solo today, digging into the most relevant sections of the interview and separating performative victory claims from what the conflict actually looks like on the ground and in the policy choices coming out of Washington. If the plan keeps shifting midstream, the danger isn’t just mission creep, it’s a leadership structure that can’t tell the truth about costs, objectives, or end states.

We also rewind the clock on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) to explain what Iran already conceded, why IAEA inspections matter, and why “get a better deal” politics can push negotiations into a dead end. I cover reporting that Iran has floated letting inspectors back into nuclear sites, and why that should be treated as a serious opening instead of dismissed for not meeting ever-expanding demands tied to regional alliances. This is the kind of detail the mainstream conversation often skips, even though it’s exactly where escalation or de-escalation gets decided.

Then we connect foreign policy to the numbers people see every day: gasoline and diesel prices, shipping costs, and inflation at the store. I break down reports that the US is pressuring the European Union to release massive amounts from strategic reserves and threatening export bans, effectively flirting with a trade fight while allies are already strained by the Iran war and the Ukraine war. We also look at the RAF Fairford arrests and why the rush to pin it on Iran deserves real skepticism, before closing with Russia’s warnings about NATO, Kaliningrad, and the risks of treating signals as empty threats.

If you want more clear, fact-driven coverage of Iran, energy politics, and NATO escalation risk, subscribe for new episodes, share this one with a friend, and leave a review so more people can find the show.

The Kyle Anzalone Show guest LARRY JOHNSON: Trump’s Iran War Threat Reaches the Brink

A lot of foreign policy talk collapses into slogans until you ask one simple question: if things are going fine, why are oil prices still telling a different story? We bring Larry Johnson back to sort through the gap between public claims and what the Strait of Hormuz, tanker security, and the energy market seem to be signaling in real time. Along the way, we react to Iran’s blunt skepticism about negotiations after attacks and alleged deal violations, and we talk through why US Iran diplomacy looks frozen despite confident headlines.

From there, we get concrete about consequences: reported US casualties, the incentives to minimize numbers, and how “symbolic progress” can be used to calm investors without changing facts on the water or repairing damaged oil infrastructure. We also explore how disruption in the Persian Gulf ripples into diesel pricing, sour crude availability, and broader economic stress, where even unrelated shocks can accelerate sell offs when markets are already on edge.

The second half turns to Yemen and the Ansar Allah fight with Saudi Arabia, including why more bombing is not a magic fix, what earlier campaigns cost, and why the Houthis are described here as an independent force rather than an Iranian puppet. We close by pivoting to Ukraine and Russia, challenging the claim that refinery strikes explain global diesel shortages, and focusing instead on supply chain math and repair capacity.

 

The Mog Abides

Operation Gothic Serpent 3 October 1993

Shughart: “Gordy’s gone man. I’ll be outside.”

There is no doubt Mogidishu, Somalia was a bad conflict (American has not been involved in a good one since 1871) but the valor and sprezzatura of Gordon and Shughart is off the charts.

Heroes happen because events take a bad and unpredictable turn. Medal of Honor winners step into the breach when the shit hits the fan.

Remember.

Chasing Ghosts Episode 022 “Review and Discussion: Day of the Rangers: The Battle of Mogadishu 25 Years On””

https://rss.com/podcasts/cgp/1065857/

The Kyle Anzalone Show: Showdown at the UN as the US and Iran Escalate Tensions

Trump takes the UN stage and talks about Iran the way politicians talk when they want options to expand a war without owning the cost. I walk through what he said, why it lands as bluster instead of strategy, and how that kind of rhetoric can still be dangerous when it becomes the basis for real policy. If you care about US foreign policy, Middle East war risk, and how diplomacy gets weaponized, this one is for you.

From there, I compare the Iranian president’s response to the American narrative about “state sponsor of terrorism,” including the uncomfortable question of who has actually backed violent actors in the region in recent decades. We get into the difference between terrorism and wartime attacks, the role of proxies and militias, and why credibility at the UN matters even if you don’t love the institution. I also flag how claims about nuclear weapons often ignore the nuclear reality already in the region.

Then I dig into Marco Rubio’s comments and the central contradiction: if deals are pointless because Iran can’t be trusted, why does the argument suddenly become “bombing isn’t enough, we need an enforceable commitment”? We also pivot to Tucker Carlson’s claim about Israel’s aims, a UN-floor intimidation clip, Trump’s attempt to rebrand artificial intelligence as “superintelligence,” and what the US China trade truce means for Iran sanctions, Taiwan arms sales, and Beijing’s leverage.

The Kyle Anzalone Show guest Joe Terwilliger: Tensions Flare in East Asia as North Korea Tests Hypersonic Missiles!

A single phrase can change the whole global chessboard: nuclear first use. We start by reacting to speculation about a US nuclear strike in Iran and lay out why even “unlikely” decisions matter when escalation could pull in Russia, China, and every other nuclear-armed state. Deterrence is supposed to prevent war, but it also creates terrifying edge cases where leaders gamble for leverage and everyone else has to guess what comes next.

From there, we pivot to the Korean Peninsula and the reality that keeps colliding with Washington’s talking points. North Korea has been crystal clear that denuclearization is not on the table, and we dig into why that position is rational from Pyongyang’s perspective after watching what happens to governments that lack a credible deterrent. We also sort signal from noise on weapons claims, missile tests, and how US South Korea Japan military exercises can accelerate a security spiral where both sides insist they are acting defensively.

We close with the diplomacy question people keep asking: will Trump meet Kim Jong-un again. Our guest makes the case that mid to late 2028 may be the first serious window, when legacy, leverage, and “no other day” incentives align. Along the way we talk sanctions relief, liaison offices, the UN’s fading enforcement power, and how the Russia North Korea defense pact reshapes what negotiations can even look like. If you found this useful, subscribe, share the show, and leave a review so more people can find these conversations.

The Reaper Has Been Seen a Dramatic Destruction Cycle

U.S. Air Force MQ-9 Reaper Drone Crashes After Violating Afghan Airspace: Did the Taliban Shoot it Down?

The USAF MQ-9A Reaper fleet is down to about 135 airframes — under half the 351 counted in FY2022 — and the production line is shut, Army Recognition reported from a 23 September CRS study. GA-ASI told CRS a restart would take two to three years.

crsreaper1

FY27 asks for no new Air Force Reapers; the Navy wants five for the Marines. The service still claims 56 combat lines.

Epic Fury losses were not published, of course.

GEN Ken Wilsbach called the Reaper the operation’s MVP.

Successor plan is Massed Modular Aircraft at ~$10 million versus $30–50 million for a Reaper, prototypes from FY28, 500 jets by 2032.

Effectiveness of the Proposed Massed Modular Aircraft. The Air Force has stated that the MMA concept would provide field commanders with a similar capability as the Reaper at a lower per-unit cost. Representatives for General Atomics have criticized the Air Force’s cost target for MMAs as not realistic. Congress could consider what sort of analysis of alternatives informed the MMA proposal. Congress might also consider how the Air Force is applying lessons from the Iran conflict to the development of the MMA.

It will cost much more and delivery will be delayed of the MMA.

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF13318

 

 

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