How to Misuse Global COVID-19 Statistics

How to Misuse Global COVID-19 Statistics

Have you heard about Somalia's COVID-19 policy? In the official statistics, Somalia has just 3,362 confirmed infections and 97 confirmed deaths from COVID-19. On a per capita basis, the country has a death toll just barely above New Zealand, and below other widely reported success stories like South Korea, Japan, Norway, Germany, etc. Yet, my guess is you probably have not heard much about how Somalia defeated the coronavirus. Why is that? The reason is that, implicitly, no one thinks Somalia's statistics reflect the underlying reality. Still the recurring target of US drone strikes and...

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Is Sweden’s COVID-19 Response a Cautionary Tale or a Model to Follow? It’s Complicated

Is Sweden’s COVID-19 Response a Cautionary Tale or a Model to Follow? It’s Complicated

In the ongoing debate about lockdowns in the US, Sweden has become the battleground. To mainstream media outlets, Sweden's experience is cited as a cautionary tale. CBS writes that Sweden has become "an example of how not to handle COVID-19". Meanwhile, to those who have been skeptical of the lockdown policy all along, Sweden's results are occasionally cited in glowing terms. For instance, Jeffrey Tucker of AIER tweeted this out last week, showing that Sweden's daily death toll has slowed to a crawl: So which version is true? Did Sweden's less restrictive approach to COVID-19 usher in the...

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How to Misuse Global COVID-19 Statistics

NPR Report on Florida’s Record Infections Misleads Its Audience

This Monday, NPR consumers woke up to this alarming report on the coronavirus: Florida Smashes U.S. State Record Of Daily New Cases: More Than 15,200 Not content to scare readers in the headline, the dire framing continues in body of the report, which was discussed on the Up First podcast. Some illustrative quotes below: Florida reported 15,299 new coronavirus cases on Sunday, marking the largest single-day increase of any state since the start of the pandemic. Sunday's number exceeds New York's peak of more than 12,200 new cases in one day back in April, when it was the epicenter of the...

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Three Observations on the Second Wave of COVID-19

Three Observations on the Second Wave of COVID-19

The long-feared second wave of COVID-19 in the United States appears to have arrived. National case numbers are making new records and two states have started to move back towards quarantine. Since news reports on the virus continue to emphasize the wrong metrics, some important facts about the new wave often get missed. Here are three things to know about the new rise in cases. 1. The recent rise in cases cannot be explained by increases in testing. This is an important point because the onset of a second jump in cases has been declared prematurely several times before now. These types of...

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How to Misuse Global COVID-19 Statistics

Three Ways Not To Analyze COVID-19 Statistics

The COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns continue to cause unprecedented devastation of everyday life in the United States--approximately 100,000 deaths, tens of millions unemployed, and countless plans, activities, and goals put on an indefinite hold. In this context, news outlets, politicians, and consumers are closely following the trends in the COVID-19 statistics, trying to answer the most pressing questions. Are things getting better or worse in the US? Have we succeeded in the flattening the curve? Are the reopened states seeing a surge in new cases that many have feared? These are...

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Using Bad Math, Media Claims No State Has Met the Reopening Guidelines on New Cases

Using Bad Math, Media Claims No State Has Met the Reopening Guidelines on New Cases

As the debate over lifting the lockdowns in the US intensifies, key data points on testing and infections are routinely mischaracterized. Consider this summary from Chris Wallace on Fox News Sunday on May 3: As we said, about half the states -- more than half the states have started in some way, shape, or form, reopening. But we've crunched the numbers, Doctor, and not a single state has met the White House gating guidelines of two weeks of steady decline in new cases. It's not just Fox News that is describing the data in this way. Here's how NBC News reported it on April 28: As a handful of...

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Between a Rock and San Francisco

Over at Reason, Christian Britschgi reports on one of the unfortunate choices that faced San Franciscans in this week's vote--whether to increase a business receipts tax by ~500 or ~1,000 percent. As I write this, it's too close to call and more votes are coming in, but it's possible that San Franciscans might end up declining them both. Here's hoping.

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Congress Lifts a Stress Off the Financial System

Congress has finally taken action to liberalize the nation's financial system. The bill was S. 2155, the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act. It passed both houses with a surprising degree of bipartisan support and was signed by President Trump last week on May 24. Opponents cast the bill as a gift to the largest banks that will put the economy at greater risk for a new financial crisis. In fact, the bill represents a modest and limited reform of Dodd-Frank. The law scales back an onerous regulatory exercise of questionable utility, and it actually reduces the...

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News

News Roundup 6/30/2022

US News Senator Van Hollen and Cardin, both from Maryland introduced the “Service to the Fleet Act,” a $632 million spending bill for the Coast Guard’s Baltimore-based shipyard. Forbes Russia Reuters reported on Wednesday that European officials are in talks on a...

Blog

Climate Lockdowns Are Here

  In a development that has been widely broadcast for decades (to those tuned to the correct frequency), Western countries have begun implementing the next step in the government-by-emergency manual. Indeed, once the public allows government to immolate its...

Substantive Due Process

[T]he conservatives reject substantive due process, which they see as a contradiction in terms that authorizes judges to legislate. If the term sounds odd, it would be odder still to dismiss the idea. As Roger Pilon writes, “By ‘law’ [in due process of law] the...

The Antiwar Comic: The War on Bodies

How quick they switch to the current thing. For more comics, visit The Webcomic Factory. Also, check out my latest book, The Pineys: Book 9: The Witch Hunter Piney.

Ending the Yemen War

There's a Resolution in the House, HJ Res 87, a War Powers Resolution demanding an end to all support for Saudi and UAE's war in Yemen. The new Libertarian Party is working with all the great Yemen war activists to do a pressure campaign on Congress to support it....

The Libertarian Party is Beating the Drums for Peace

For the people turning 21 this fall, America has been at war their entire lives. The Global War on Terror has reached its second generation of soldiers. Defense spending and the global presence of the U.S. military and armaments continue to proliferate. The...

The Scott Horton Show

6/27/22 Dan Steinbock: How Hawkish Democrats Make Money Pushing War

 Download Episode. Scott is joined by Dan Steinbock to discuss an article he wrote about the network of Democratic organizations running American foreign policy. Steinbock has dug deep into the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) and WestExec Advisors, two...

6/27/22 Dave Decamp on Ukraine, NATO and Antiwar.com

 Download Episode. Scott interviews Antiwar.com News Editor Dave Decamp about the recent developments in Eastern Europe. First, they examine Lithuania closing the easement into Russia’s Kaliningrad territory. The move is a dramatic escalation that Scott and Decamp...

6/20/22 Ramzy Baroud on Israel, Palestine and Mali

 Download Episode. Scott is joined by journalist and author Ramzy Baroud to discuss the deterioration of Israeli Politics and the war in Mali. Israel will hold its fifth election in four years after yet another failure to form a government. Baroud gives some...

Conflicts of Interest

COI #294: The NYT Reveals CIA Officers are Operating in Ukraine

On COI #294, Kyle Anzalone discusses the White House ramping up great power conflict with Russia and China.   Odysee Rumble  Donate LBRY Credits bTTEiLoteVdMbLS7YqDVSZyjEY1eMgW7CP Donate Bitcoin 36PP4kT28jjUZcL44dXDonFwrVVDHntsrk Donate Bitcoin Cash...

Don't Tread on Anyone

6 Progressive Myths About History (w/ Lawrence W. Reed)

https://youtu.be/HsXj83JNUb4 In May 1939, Treasury Secretary Henry J. Morgenthau Jr., one of Franklin Roosevelt's best friends, testified before the House Ways and Means Committee: "I say after eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as...

Liberty Weekly Podcast

Proxy Wars…The Punishment Due Ep. 221

  https://youtu.be/51gBx3rE7zw In this week's episode, I take the audience on an even deeper dive into my most recent piece for the Libertarian Institute. Episode 221 of the Liberty Weekly Podcast is Brought to you by: LibertyWeekly.club Join my membership and...

National Review Senior Editor Turns Rothbardian Ep. 220

https://youtu.be/sJXF9jgj1L4 Managing Editor of the Libertarian Institute and longtime friend and guest of the show Keith Knight joins me in this week's episode to review an article by Joseph Sobran. Sobran was the Senior Editor of the National Review, but questioned...

Patrick MacFarlane on the Hrvoje Moric Show Ep. 219

https://youtu.be/yI1ND-TJR8g This week's episode is a mirror of my recent appearance on the Hrvoje Moric Show on Tnt Radio. We discuss the war in Ukraine, China, and the brave new world we are sleepwalking into. Hrvoje is the host of Geopolitics and Empire Podcast....

Empire of Death: America’s Moral Bankruptcy Ep. 218

https://youtu.be/7yZEk73JdVo In this episode, I take a deeper dive on my latest editorial up at the Libertarian Institute, share my experience at Chillderburg, introduce my new newsletter website, and thank several outlets that have started reprinting my Libertarian...

Year Zero

Nihilism w/Buck Johnson

Buck joined me to discuss Nihilism by Fr Seraphim Rose. Nihilism is an interesting critique of liberalism that walks through the stages of societal degradation. Fr Seraphim determines that the replacement of an objective truth with relative truth sends the world into...

A Deep Dive w/Monica Perez

Monica Perez joined me for an in depth conversation on culture, religion, ESG, WEF, the future, and how the 21st Century is different than the 20th Century. Monica Twitter Discord Libertarian Institute 19 Skills Pdf Autonomy Course Critical Thinking Course Donate...

Love and Fear w/Courtenay Turner

Courtenay and I talk ESG, intentional communities, motivations, elites, and the future. Courtenay Twitter Courtenay Turner Podcast Discord Libertarian Institute 19 Skills Pdf Autonomy Course Critical Thinking Course Donate Patreon...

Shadowy Figures Surrounding 9/11 w/Adam Fitzgerald

Adam Fitzgerald joined me to discuss the less talked about aspects of 9/11. We spent most of our time discussing the characters involved and around the event. We could have gone for hours on this subject, but as you will hear, I hit a wall at the 2 hour mark. Adam...

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